Monthly Archives: September 2020

The Dreaded Second Wave

 

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Covid19 Bullshit for Dummies

Do you ever wonder how dangerous Covid19 is? If it’s getting better, or worse? If the things we’re being forced to do are helping? Excellent places to not learn anything are the NYT, WaPo, CNN, MSNBC, FOX, The Atlantic, Slate, … Continue reading

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Some Concrete Covid 19 Predictions

This is a follow up to some questions about this https://mikezintel.wordpress.com/2020/09/10/covid-19-by-the-numbers-sept-2020/, some analysis of these numbers, and (rare for me) some concrete predictions. The formula for chance of dying from an event is chance of dying, as measured, per unit … Continue reading

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Covid 19, by the Numbers (Sept 2020)

Technically, a “case” is confirmed, symptomatic infection. A positive PCR test includes viral loads too low to cause infection, harmless fragments of DNA from previous but now recovered infections, asymptomatic and mild infections that will result in immunity, and symptomatic … Continue reading

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Brainwashed

Most people are conscious of propaganda and authoritarianism as tools to control thought and action. People, when subjected to overt threats to their  life and liberty, threatened with imprisonment or worse, will as a survival tool pretend to believe what … Continue reading

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