Monthly Archives: September 2020

Some Concrete Covid 19 Predictions

This is a follow up to some questions about this, some analysis of these numbers, and (rare for me) some concrete predictions. The formula for chance of dying from an event is chance of dying, as measured, per unit … Continue reading

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Covid 19, by the Numbers (Sept 2020)

Technically, a “case” is confirmed, symptomatic infection. A positive PCR test includes viral loads too low to cause infection, harmless fragments of DNA from previous but now recovered infections, asymptomatic and mild infections that will result in immunity, and symptomatic … Continue reading

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